The Uncertainty Mindset 2019-2020

A newsletter project by Vaughn Tan (book | homepage | Twitter | Instagram).

If you've arrived here from an external site and want to know what's going on—or if you've become disoriented in this garden of forking paths—you can always go to the index page, the topic list, or the issue list.

Feel free to get in touch (especially if you find a broken link) or sign up for the newsletter.

realistic imagination

Vaughn Tan3rd January 2021 at 5:54pm

The ability to imagine something that doesn't exist yet, but in a way that is grounded in existing reality. This is essential for innovation, for adaptability in times of uncertainty, and is an important part of developing the uncertainty mindset. Seems like a contradiction but isn't.

See also: affordances, causality, complexity, design, freedom, knowability, negative capability, precautionary principle, resilience, self-therapy, the work of uncertainty, tradeoffs, uncertain futures, voluntary uncertainty.